PolySharp
Sign in
Prediction markets
59 active markets
· category “Trump”
How it works
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$136.2M
Vol.
trump
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
3%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
trump
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
71%
June 30
36%
1 more
$18.4M
Vol.
trump
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
3%
Yes
No
≤49
3%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
trump
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$176K
Vol.
trump
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
trump
Will Trump sign an executive order on...?
May 19
99%
May 1
99%
29 more
$103K
Vol.
trump
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
trump
Trump out as President by May 31?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$2.22M
Vol.
trump
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$166K
Vol.
trump
Trump out as President by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$5.49M
Vol.
trump
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pam Bondi
99%
Kash Patel
99%
18 more
$1.18M
Vol.
trump
